Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.726876 5.627868 6.629576 7.822326 9.200161 10.737994 12.580386
2025-06-08 3.555150 4.747410 6.206618 8.109153 10.507668 13.413151 17.179042
2025-06-15 2.729715 4.024873 5.745159 8.164148 11.438762 15.673228 21.510370
2025-06-22 2.045731 3.303564 5.102835 7.808649 11.706155 17.036247 24.775851
2025-06-29 1.645131 2.880702 4.767237 7.773949 12.339784 18.883807 28.803932
2025-07-06 1.343710 2.537349 4.472805 7.724557 12.901557 20.635659 32.809216
2025-07-13 1.206605 2.430970 4.520348 8.189485 14.264291 23.653238 38.889707
2025-07-20 1.057952 2.271263 4.447154 8.433951 15.284670 26.216420 44.468942
2025-07-27 0.956644 2.177287 4.467630 8.827813 16.572725 29.285268 51.048294
2025-08-03 0.820343 1.985765 4.278450 8.819365 17.164050 31.259730 56.006920
2025-08-10 0.673611 1.740565 3.946371 8.498399 17.160534 32.226236 59.359710
2025-08-17 0.555243 1.530629 3.647838 8.194764 17.142242 33.143589 62.666281
2025-08-24 0.478861 1.403582 3.504798 8.187636 17.691291 35.124785 68.001862
2025-08-31 0.418607 1.302458 3.401406 8.247518 18.373846 37.398333 74.016895
2025-09-07 0.361288 1.194950 3.265290 8.218051 18.872312 39.366494 79.614632
2025-09-14 0.292619 1.037867 2.984755 7.831029 18.597806 39.853722 82.526647
2025-09-21 0.252618 0.952636 2.863575 7.785665 19.025382 41.708168 88.096383
2025-09-28 0.218144 0.874644 2.746550 7.732409 19.426130 43.532054 93.716364
2025-10-05 0.208750 0.875677 2.838823 8.196308 21.005804 47.816860 104.346097
2025-10-12 0.191705 0.846233 2.842754 8.440417 22.111686 51.209262 113.418573
2025-10-19 0.181184 0.837232 2.902899 8.834343 23.593994 55.471239 124.454506
2025-10-26 0.159386 0.780065 2.813139 8.825818 24.134945 57.795856 131.722375
2025-11-02 0.132300 0.693059 2.616861 8.504619 23.897353 58.442978 135.600776